突出矿井瓦斯抽放限制影响因素的AHP-熵权法评价模型

为提高煤与瓦斯突出矿井瓦斯抽放效果,建立了3个一级指标、14个二级指标的突出矿井瓦斯抽放限制影响因素评价指标体系,利用AHP和熵权法分别确定指标因子主、客观权重.通过实地调研分析和反馈验证了AHP-熵权法的可行性和正确性,利用加权平均法确定评价模型的综合权重.研究表明:封孔方式、钻孔半径、抽放时间、煤体裂隙发育程度和抽放负压是目前影响煤矿瓦斯抽放效果的主控因素.     

Optimization of heterogeneous Catalyst-assisted fatty acid methyl esters biodiesel production from Soybean oil with different Machine learning methods

There is a growing attention to the bio and renewable energies due to fast depletion of fossil fuels as well as the global warming problem. Here, we developed a modeling and simulation method by means of artificial intelligence (AI) for prediction of the bioenergy production from vegetable bean oil. AI methods are well known for prediction of complex and nonlinear process. Three distinct Adaptive Boosted models including Huber regression, LASSO, and Support Vector Regression (SVR) as well as artificial neural network (ANN) were applied in this study to predict actual yield of Fatty acid methyl esters (FAME) production. All boosted utilizing the Adaptive boosting algorithm. The important influencing parameters on the biodiesel production such as the catalyst loading (CAO/Ag, wt%) and methanol to oil (Soybean oil) molar ratio were selected as the input variables of models while the yield of FAME production was selected as output. Model hyper-parameters were tuned to maintain generality while improving prediction accuracy. The models were evaluated using three distinct metrics Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R². Error rates of 8.16780E-01, 4.43895E-01, 2.06692E + 00, and 3.92713 E-01 were obtained with the MAE metric for boosted Huber, SVR, LASSO and ANN models. On the other hand, the RMSE error of these models were about 1.092E-02, 1.015E-02, 2.669E-02, and 1.01174E-02, respectively. Finally, the R-square score were calculated for boosted Huber, boosted SVR, and boosted LASSO as 0.976, 0.990, 0.872, and 0.99702, respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that although the boosted SVR and ANN models were better models for prediction of process efficiency in terms of error, but all algorithms had high accuracy. The optimum yield of 83.77% and 81.60% for biodiesel production were observed at optimum operating values from boosted SVR and ANN models, respectively.     

光纤基底TiNi形状记忆合金薄膜制备工艺

将TiNi基记忆合金薄膜与光纤相结合可制成智能化、集成化且成本经济的微机电系统和微传感器件.本文采用磁控溅射法在二氧化硅光纤基底上制备TiNi记忆合金薄膜,系统讨论了溅射工艺参数以及后续退火处理对薄膜质量的影响.采用自研制光纤镀膜掩膜装置在直径为125μm的光纤圆周表面上形成均匀薄膜.实验表明:在靶基距、背底真空度、Ar气流量和溅射时间一定的条件下,溅射功率存在最佳值;溅射压强较大时,薄膜沉积速率较低,但薄膜表面粗糙度较小.进行退火处理后,薄膜形成较良好的晶体结构,Ti_49.09Ni_50.91薄膜中马氏体B19′相和奥氏体B2相共存,但以B19′为主.根据本文研究结果,在玻璃光纤基底上制备高质量的TiNi基记忆合金薄膜是可实现的,本工作为下一步研制微机电系统和微型传感器做了基础准备.     

Discussion of “Virtual age,is it real?”

In this note, some point of views on virtual ages are presented in terms of the discussion paper written by Finkelstein and Cha, which include generalized stochastic order‐based virtual ages, system‐level virtual ages, virtual ages in Weibull distribution and repair degrees with virtual ages. Finally, some possible future researches on virtual ages are described.     

Diffusive search with spatially dependent resetting

We consider a stochastic search model with resetting for an unknown stationary target $a\in \mathbb{R}$ with known distribution $\mu$. The searcher begins at the origin and performs Brownian motion with diffusion constant $D$. The searcher is also armed with an exponential clock with spatially dependent rate $r=r\left(\cdot \right)$, so that if it has failed to locate the target by the time the clock rings, then its position is reset to the origin and it continues its search anew from there. Denote the position of the searcher at time $t$ by $X\left(t\right)$. Let $E_0^{\left(r\right)}$ denote expectations for the process $X\left(\cdot \right)$. The search ends at time $T_a=inf\{t\ge 0:X\left(t\right)=a\}$. The expected time of the search is then ${\int }_{\mathbb{R}}\left(E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a\right)\mu \left(da\right)$. Ideally, one would like to minimize this over all resetting rates $r$. We obtain quantitative growth rates for $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$ as a function of $a$ in terms of the asymptotic behavior of the rate function $r$, and also a rather precise dichotomy on the asymptotic behavior of the resetting function $r$ to determine whether $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$ is finite or infinite. We show generically that if $r\left(x\right)$ is of the order ${\left|x\right|}^{2l}$, with $l>-1$, then $log{E}_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$ is of the order ${\left|a\right|}^{l+1}$; in particular, the smaller the asymptotic size of $r$, the smaller the asymptotic growth rate of $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$. The asymptotic growth rate of $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$ continues to decrease when $r\left(x\right)\sim \frac{D\lambda }{x^2}$ with $\lambda >1$; now the growth rate of $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a$ is more or less of the order ${\left|a\right|}^{\frac{1+\sqrt{1+8\lambda }}{2}}$. Note that this exponent increases to $\infty$ when $\lambda$ increases to $\infty$ and decreases to 2 when $\lambda$ decreases to 1. However, if $\lambda =1$, then $E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a=\infty$, for $a\ne 0$. Our results suggest that for many distributions $\mu$ supported on all of $\mathbb{R}$, a near optimal (or optimal) choice of resetting function $r$ in order to minimize ${\int }_{{\mathbb{R}}^d}\left(E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a\right)\mu \left(da\right)$ will be one which decays quadratically as $\frac{D\lambda }{x^2}$ for some $\lambda >1$. We also give explicit, albeit rather complicated, variational formulas for ${inf}_{r\gneqq 0}{\int }_{{\mathbb{R}}^d}\left(E_0^{\left(r\right)}{T}_a\right)\mu \left(da\right)$. For distributions $\mu$ with compact support, one should set $r=\infty$ off of the support. We also discuss this case.